Next-Gen Sustainability Phase II
ID: 8339123-50
Potential Value
$8,000,000
Deal Value
$8,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
1254
Client
Quantum Pharmaceutical Worldwide
City
Denver
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Taylor Marcel
Pursuit Leader
Zhang Daniel
Open Date
Dec 6, 2022
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Next-Gen Sustainability Phase II
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
66.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$593,273
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
66.8%
Model A: Planning
11.1%
Model B: Early Signal
1.6%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
11.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
1.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).