IdentifyOver 90 Days

Unified Operations Implementation - FY25

ID: 2263367-10

Potential Value

-$395,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

824

Client & Account

Client

Central Capital

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - Private Tax

Global Service Code

Grant Management - Operations (40345)

People & Dates

Partner

Brown Helmut

Pursuit Leader

Thompson Thomas

Open Date

Feb 9, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Unified Operations Implementation - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

82.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

-$300,204

Key Triage Drivers

Deal size
-0.801
Work type
+0.668
Service sub-line track record
+0.608

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

82.5%

Model A: Planning

92.1%

Model B: Early Signal

68.1%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.528
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.171
Lead sales credit %
-0.918

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

68.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.983
Deal size vs service line median
-0.891
Deal size
-0.680

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (68%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, deal size.