PursueOver 90 Days

Global Risk Management Pilot - Extension

ID: 1904687-40

Potential Value

$1,012,679

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

1090

Client & Account

Client

Milestone Commission

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Romero Joshua

Pursuit Leader

Takahashi Diego

Open Date

May 19, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 1, 2028

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Global Risk Management Pilot - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

94.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$867,111

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.717
Non-recurring work
+0.562
Recurring/additional sale
+0.514

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

94.0%

Model A: Planning

91.1%

Model B: Early Signal

91.3%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

91.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.557
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.453
Lead sales credit %
-0.814

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

91.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.160
Deal size vs service line median
-0.567
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.458

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), opportunitytype additional sales opportunity. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.