IdentifyOver 90 Days

Enhanced Operations Phase III - Extension

ID: 8256764-10

Potential Value

$800,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

91

Client & Account

Client

Maple Worldwide

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Product & Service Innovation

Global Service Code

Identity Management (86343)

People & Dates

Partner

Takahashi Debra

Pursuit Leader

De Boer Pablo

Open Date

Feb 11, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 13, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enhanced Operations Phase III - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

86.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$626,370

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+1.032
Work type
+0.730
Recurring/additional sale
+0.411

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

86.9%

Model A: Planning

90.1%

Model B: Early Signal

80.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

90.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.757
Deal age (days since open)
-0.771
Lead sales credit %
-0.698

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

80.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.179
Deal size vs service line median
-0.578
Service sub-line track record
-0.527

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.