IdentifyOver 90 Days

Optimized Digital Transformation Workshop - Renewal

ID: 6236115-10

Potential Value

-$750,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

210

Client & Account

Client

Central Capital

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - Private Tax

Global Service Code

Grant Management - Operations (40345)

People & Dates

Partner

Brown Helmut

Pursuit Leader

Peterson Miguel

Open Date

Oct 15, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2029

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Digital Transformation Workshop - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

82.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

-$502,856

Key Triage Drivers

Deal size
-0.801
Work type
+0.668
Service sub-line track record
+0.608

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

82.5%

Model A: Planning

81.3%

Model B: Early Signal

89.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

81.3%

Key Drivers

Deal age (days since open)
-1.176
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.119
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.863

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (81%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

89.3%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-0.767
Sub-sector track record
+0.605
Market segment
-0.560

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: sub-sector track record. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.