QualifyOver 90 Days

Extended Procurement Proof of Concept

ID: 6861053-50

Potential Value

$7,000,000

Deal Value

$8,000,000

Stated Probability

60%

Days in Pipeline

384

Client & Account

Client

Gamma Security Trust

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramirez Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

Apr 24, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Procurement Proof of Concept

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

42.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$2,109,242

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.660
Service sub-line track record
-0.418
Expansion pursuit
-0.315

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

42.0%

Model A: Planning

71.8%

Model B: Early Signal

40.5%

Stated Probability

60%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

71.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.616
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.612
Lead sales credit %
-0.704

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (72%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

40.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.176
Service sub-line track record
-0.493
Deal size vs service line median
-0.467

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (40%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.