Identify60-90 Days

Foundational Governance Roadmap (Revised)

ID: 4435553-10

Potential Value

$2,500,000

Deal Value

$15,500,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

736

Client & Account

Client

Gamma Security Trust

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramirez Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

May 7, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational Governance Roadmap (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

15.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$341,221

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.587
Service sub-line track record
-0.499
Deal size (log scale)
-0.393

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

15.9%

Model A: Planning

85.7%

Model B: Early Signal

51.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

85.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.336
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.156
Lead sales credit %
-0.834

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

51.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.127
Service sub-line track record
-0.550
Market segment
-0.410

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.