IdentifyOver 90 Days

Enterprise Market Entry Initiative - Renewal

ID: 4519682-40

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

954

Client & Account

Client

Gamma Security Trust

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramirez Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

Oct 2, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enterprise Market Entry Initiative - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

20.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$71,296

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.614
Service sub-line track record
-0.488
Deal size
-0.329

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

20.6%

Model A: Planning

69.3%

Model B: Early Signal

50.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

69.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.557
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.232
Lead sales credit %
-0.787

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (69%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

50.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.034
Service sub-line track record
-0.535
Account business unit
-0.357

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, account business unit.