Qualify60-90 Days

Adaptive Market Entry Redesign - Pilot

ID: 5326651-10

Potential Value

$2,100,000

Deal Value

$2,100,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

103

Client & Account

Client

Gamma Security Trust

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramirez Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

Jan 30, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Market Entry Redesign - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

92.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,749,590

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+1.049
Work type
+0.776
Recurring/additional sale
+0.436

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

92.1%

Model A: Planning

90.5%

Model B: Early Signal

92.6%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

90.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.753
Deal age (days since open)
-0.996
Lead sales credit %
-0.708

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

92.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.177
Recurring/additional sale
+0.621
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.558

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.