IdentifyOver 90 Days

Accelerated Regulatory Reporting Assessment - FY26

ID: 7133005-30

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$500,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

483

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Public Technologies

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Vendor Management (81707)

People & Dates

Partner

Ross Kenji

Pursuit Leader

Garcia Sophie

Open Date

Jan 15, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Accelerated Regulatory Reporting Assessment - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

36.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$41,071

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.591
Work type
+0.521
Opportunity business unit
+0.434

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

36.7%

Model A: Planning

22.4%

Model B: Early Signal

6.5%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

22.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.837
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.231
Lead sales credit %
-0.684

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.957
Service sub-line track record
-0.528
Deal size
-0.502

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.