PursueWithin 30 Days

Modernized Supply Chain Proof of Concept - Renewal

ID: 2027428-30

Potential Value

$120,000

Deal Value

$150,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

124

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Public Technologies

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Internal Controls - Management (52177)

People & Dates

Partner

Hall Justin

Pursuit Leader

Moore Frances

Open Date

Jan 9, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Supply Chain Proof of Concept - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

87.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$103,586

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.904
Work type
+0.682
Recurring/additional sale
+0.573

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

87.8%

Model A: Planning

98.4%

Model B: Early Signal

94.3%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.768
Deal age (days since open)
-0.904
Lead sales credit %
-0.714

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

94.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.117
Recurring/additional sale
+0.593
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.536

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.