IdentifyPast Due

Multi-Phase Performance Management Engagement

ID: 4310285-50

Potential Value

$300,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

171

Client & Account

Client

Gamma Security Trust

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramirez Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

Nov 23, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 16, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Multi-Phase Performance Management Engagement

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

18.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$44,659

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.596
Service sub-line track record
-0.485
Deal size
-0.290

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

18.5%

Model A: Planning

80.4%

Model B: Early Signal

55.0%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

80.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.381
Deal age (days since open)
-0.803
Lead sales credit %
-0.731

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

55.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.001
Service sub-line track record
-0.558
Account business unit
-0.357

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (55%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, account business unit.