Identify30-60 Days

Integrated Finance Optimization - Pilot

ID: 6815006-40

Potential Value

$400,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

203

Client & Account

Client

Nexgen Aerospace Systems

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Healthcare Strategy (58866)

People & Dates

Partner

Johnson Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Leroy Andrew

Open Date

Oct 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated Finance Optimization - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

43.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$144,873

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.614
Service sub-line track record
-0.507
Opportunity business unit
+0.416

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

43.0%

Model A: Planning

84.2%

Model B: Early Signal

52.5%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

84.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.559
Deal age (days since open)
-0.794
Lead sales credit %
-0.735

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (84%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

52.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.103
Service sub-line track record
-0.518
Market segment
-0.429

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (53%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.