PursuePast Due

Adaptive Process Improvement Initiative

ID: 2781058-10

Potential Value

$400,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

5%

Days in Pipeline

486

Client & Account

Client

Apex Transport Dynamics

City

Brussels

Region

Europe West

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

GCR

Competency

GCR - Core

Global Service Code

Mediation Services (85572)

People & Dates

Partner

Powell Ravi

Pursuit Leader

Jimenez Helen

Open Date

Jan 12, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Process Improvement Initiative

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

67.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$249,474

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.534
Opportunity business unit
+0.497
Service sub-line track record
+0.463

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

67.6%

Model A: Planning

92.2%

Model B: Early Signal

81.0%

Stated Probability

5%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.607
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.345
Market segment
-1.015

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

81.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.912
Market segment
-0.743
Account business unit
-0.578

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (81%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.