ClosingWithin 30 Days

End-to-End Digital Transformation Phase I - Renewal

ID: 9573977-40

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

35%

Days in Pipeline

456

Client & Account

Client

Benchmark Defense Agency

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Ortiz Alejandro

Pursuit Leader

Parker Gregory

Open Date

Feb 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

End-to-End Digital Transformation Phase I - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.619
Service sub-line track record
-0.476
Deal size vs service line median
-0.340

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.6%

Model A: Planning

21.8%

Model B: Early Signal

15.2%

Stated Probability

35%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

21.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.504
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.968
Lead sales credit %
-0.644

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

15.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.642
Service sub-line track record
-0.521
Sub-sector track record
-0.382

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.