Innovative Tax Reform Assessment - FY25
ID: 5394312-50
Potential Value
$50,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
440
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
ITTS (in SaT)
Competency
ITTS Advisory (in SaT)
Global Service Code
Vendor Management (75003)
Partner
Jackson Gregory
Pursuit Leader
Watson Denise
Open Date
Feb 27, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Tax Reform Assessment - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
77.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$20,206
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
77.8%
Model A: Planning
52.0%
Model B: Early Signal
37.0%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
52.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (52%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, market segment, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
37.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (37%). Factors working against: account business unit, market segment, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).