Extended Supply Chain Redesign - FY25
ID: 1986178-50
Potential Value
$16,558
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
302
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
BTS
Competency
BTS - Private Tax
Global Service Code
Fund Administration - Advisory (32210)
Partner
Schmidt Philippe
Pursuit Leader
Liu Miguel
Open Date
Jul 15, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 31, 2028
Close Date
N/A
Description
Extended Supply Chain Redesign - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
90.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$12,253
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
90.0%
Model A: Planning
82.3%
Model B: Early Signal
80.3%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
82.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (82%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
80.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.