ClosingWithin 30 Days

Enhanced Governance Migration

ID: 2106731-30

Potential Value

$300,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

1155

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Development

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (82042)

People & Dates

Partner

Garcia Ann

Pursuit Leader

Weber Jean

Open Date

Mar 15, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

May 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enhanced Governance Migration

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

28.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$42,157

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.579
Service sub-line track record
-0.367
Deal size
-0.337

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

28.9%

Model A: Planning

48.5%

Model B: Early Signal

8.4%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

48.5%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.385
Service sub-line track record
-1.062
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.861

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (49%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.4%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.032
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.620
Deal size
-0.431

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.