ClosingWithin 30 Days

Innovative Digital Transformation Assessment - FY25

ID: 2574689-40

Potential Value

$300,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

1155

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Development

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Garcia Ann

Pursuit Leader

Weber Jean

Open Date

Mar 15, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

May 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Digital Transformation Assessment - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

31.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$50,738

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.646
Service sub-line track record
-0.441
Opportunity business unit
+0.287

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

31.7%

Model A: Planning

53.4%

Model B: Early Signal

10.5%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

53.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.446
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.883
Lead sales credit %
-0.786

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (53%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.773
Service sub-line track record
-0.658
Deal size
-0.428

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.