QualifyOver 90 Days

Comprehensive Procurement Renewal - FY25

ID: 7481634-50

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$500,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

485

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Jenkins Theresa

Pursuit Leader

Adams Julie

Open Date

Jan 13, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 30, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Comprehensive Procurement Renewal - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

15.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$12,766

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.745
Account track record
-0.482
Work type
+0.461

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

15.5%

Model A: Planning

16.4%

Model B: Early Signal

6.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

16.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.897
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.969
Lead sales credit %
-0.696

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.784
Deal size
-0.548
Service sub-line track record
-0.547

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, service sub-line track record.