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Predictive Legacy System Enhancement - Phase 2

ID: 4621904-10

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$4,000,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

100

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Service Transformation

Global Service Code

Transformation Planning - Advisory (47191)

People & Dates

Partner

Jenkins Theresa

Pursuit Leader

Takahashi Diego

Open Date

Feb 2, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 17, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Legacy System Enhancement - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

21.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$38,967

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.696
Work type
+0.522
Account track record
-0.449

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

21.8%

Model A: Planning

17.8%

Model B: Early Signal

3.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

17.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.251
Service sub-line track record
-0.853
Opportunity business unit
+0.622

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working in favor: opportunity business unit. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.770
Service sub-line track record
-0.684
Deal size vs service line median
-0.551

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.