Advanced Cost Optimization Review - Phase 3
ID: 6345587-40
Potential Value
$10,000,000
Deal Value
$20,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
219
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Rodriguez Danielle
Pursuit Leader
Larsen Carolyn
Open Date
Oct 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Aug 24, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Cost Optimization Review - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
13.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$153,847
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
13.1%
Model A: Planning
11.8%
Model B: Early Signal
2.2%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
11.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.