Advanced Supply Chain Phase III
ID: 1243815-40
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
75%
Days in Pipeline
112
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
People Experience
Global Service Code
Market Analysis (82042)
Partner
Jenkins Theresa
Pursuit Leader
Martinez Samuel
Open Date
Jan 21, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 12, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced Supply Chain Phase III
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
33.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$102,047
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
33.2%
Model A: Planning
61.4%
Model B: Early Signal
48.7%
Stated Probability
75%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
61.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (61%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
48.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (49%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.