High-Impact Program Management Renewal
ID: 2087215-50
Potential Value
$4,213,067
Deal Value
$4,213,067
Stated Probability
75%
Days in Pipeline
232
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Cybersecurity
Opportunity Sub-SL
Cybersecurity
Competency
Cyber Implementation
Global Service Code
Policy Development (47968)
Partner
Clark Christina
Pursuit Leader
Martinez Samuel
Open Date
Sep 23, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Sep 12, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
High-Impact Program Management Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
34.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$1,160,210
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
34.4%
Model A: Planning
80.1%
Model B: Early Signal
48.3%
Stated Probability
75%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
80.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
48.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (48%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.