Extended Risk Management Deployment - Renewal
ID: 2740502-50
Potential Value
$150,000
Deal Value
$300,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
166
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Financial Risk Management
Global Service Code
Cybersecurity Operations (48230)
Partner
Morgan Philippe
Pursuit Leader
Myers Janet
Open Date
Nov 28, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Extended Risk Management Deployment - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
18.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$9,218
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
18.7%
Model A: Planning
32.9%
Model B: Early Signal
8.4%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
32.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (33%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
8.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record.