IdentifyOver 90 Days

Holistic Program Management Strategy

ID: 5520709-20

Potential Value

$18,901,000

Deal Value

$23,000,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

219

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Rodriguez Danielle

Pursuit Leader

Larsen Carolyn

Open Date

Oct 6, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Program Management Strategy

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

11.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$258,282

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.868
Account track record
-0.540
Work type
+0.490

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

11.2%

Model A: Planning

12.2%

Model B: Early Signal

2.6%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

12.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.349
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.912
Service sub-line track record
-0.711

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.869
Deal size vs service line median
-0.756
Service sub-line track record
-0.607

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.