Multi-Phase Supply Chain Redesign - Phase 2
ID: 6610884-10
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$1,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
485
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Cybersecurity
Opportunity Sub-SL
Cybersecurity
Competency
Cyber Implementation
Global Service Code
Policy Development (47968)
Partner
Jenkins Theresa
Pursuit Leader
Adams Julie
Open Date
Jan 13, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 30, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Multi-Phase Supply Chain Redesign - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
26.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$46,698
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
26.9%
Model A: Planning
17.4%
Model B: Early Signal
3.8%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
17.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.