Proactive Change Management Initiative - Renewal
ID: 3161501-10
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
492
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Gonzalez Sophie
Pursuit Leader
Cox Amanda
Open Date
Jan 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Dec 23, 2028
Close Date
N/A
Description
Proactive Change Management Initiative - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
33.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$57,919
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
33.5%
Model A: Planning
17.3%
Model B: Early Signal
4.0%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
17.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.