IdentifyPast Due

Predictive Data Analytics Consolidation (Revised)

ID: 6485794-50

Potential Value

$10,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

193

Client & Account

Client

Solaris Civic Solutions

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - BTA

Global Service Code

Workforce Development (87367)

People & Dates

Partner

Patel Kathleen

Pursuit Leader

Bailey Elizabeth

Open Date

Nov 1, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Data Analytics Consolidation (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

94.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$9,283

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.750
Service sub-line track record
+0.583
Region track record
+0.553

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

94.4%

Model A: Planning

98.4%

Model B: Early Signal

96.8%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.016
Deal age (days since open)
-0.973
Lead sales credit %
-0.845

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

96.8%

Key Drivers

Sub-sector track record
+0.611
Region track record
+0.588
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.559

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: sub-sector track record, region track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).