ClosingPast Due

Multi-Phase Process Improvement Engagement (Revised)

ID: 5548473-50

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$4,690,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

534

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

People Experience

Global Service Code

Integration Planning (47165)

People & Dates

Partner

Wagner Betty

Pursuit Leader

Martinez Samuel

Open Date

Nov 25, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 6, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Multi-Phase Process Improvement Engagement (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

18.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$31,523

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.715
Account track record
-0.491
Work type
+0.451

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

18.4%

Model A: Planning

17.2%

Model B: Early Signal

4.2%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

17.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.464
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.999
Service sub-line track record
-0.947

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.2%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.772
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.658
Deal size vs service line median
-0.531

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.