Regional Change Management Renewal
ID: 7533804-30
Potential Value
$150,000
Deal Value
$300,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
166
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
FAAS
Competency
FAAS - Financial applications, processes and analytics
Global Service Code
Fiscal Management - CorpFin (57378)
Partner
Morgan Philippe
Pursuit Leader
Myers Janet
Open Date
Nov 28, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Change Management Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
30.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$12,889
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
30.7%
Model A: Planning
28.0%
Model B: Early Signal
7.1%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (28%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
7.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).