Intelligent Risk Management Enhancement (Revised)
ID: 3254553-20
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$2,333,333
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
104
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Supply Chain & Operations
Opportunity Sub-SL
Supply Chain & Operations´
Competency
Supply Chain Strategy, E2E Transformation, Global Trade & Tax
Global Service Code
Vendor Management (77403)
Partner
Clark Christina
Pursuit Leader
Martinez Samuel
Open Date
Jan 29, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 12, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Intelligent Risk Management Enhancement (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
79.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$680,539
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
79.2%
Model A: Planning
86.0%
Model B: Early Signal
61.1%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
86.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
61.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (61%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.