IdentifyOver 90 Days

Agile Performance Management Architecture - Pilot

ID: 6500084-40

Potential Value

$22,000,000

Deal Value

$110,000,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

232

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Clark Christina

Pursuit Leader

Martinez Samuel

Open Date

Sep 23, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 13, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Performance Management Architecture - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

49.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$6,841,468

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.575
Renewal pursuit
+0.531
Account track record
-0.468

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

49.5%

Model A: Planning

62.8%

Model B: Early Signal

46.8%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

62.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.581
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.579
Lead sales credit %
-0.781

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (63%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

46.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.998
Renewal pursuit
+0.622
Deal size vs service line median
-0.564

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (47%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.