QualifyOver 90 Days

Advanced Compliance Roadmap

ID: 4253564-30

Potential Value

$8,000,000

Deal Value

$24,000,000

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

100

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Security Consortium

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Incident Response & Resilience

Global Service Code

Mediation Services (94774)

People & Dates

Partner

Jackson Hannah

Pursuit Leader

Hernandez Priya

Open Date

Feb 2, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 14, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Advanced Compliance Roadmap

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

93.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$5,109,681

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.857
Work type
+0.762
Recurring/additional sale
+0.404

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

93.1%

Model A: Planning

68.6%

Model B: Early Signal

68.7%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

68.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.726
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.405
Deal age (days since open)
-0.818

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (69%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

68.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.032
Deal size vs service line median
-0.927
Recurring/additional sale
+0.615

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (69%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.