IdentifyOver 90 Days

Core Finance Phase I - FY26

ID: 4832524-10

Potential Value

$44,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

602

Client & Account

Client

Lunar Research Institute

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Resource Planning - Management (92452)

People & Dates

Partner

Long Raymond

Pursuit Leader

Peterson Helmut

Open Date

Sep 18, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Finance Phase I - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

57.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$21,918

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.680
Non-recurring work
+0.651
Account track record
-0.487

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

57.4%

Model A: Planning

86.8%

Model B: Early Signal

55.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

86.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.308
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.107
Deal age (days since open)
+0.960

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

55.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.801
Recurring/additional sale
+0.608
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.550

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (56%). Factors working in favor: recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).