IdentifyOver 90 Days

Regional Risk Management Roadmap (Revised)

ID: 6885694-30

Potential Value

$10,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

233

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Rodriguez Danielle

Pursuit Leader

Larsen Carolyn

Open Date

Sep 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 24, 2028

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Regional Risk Management Roadmap (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

20.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$170,540

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.542
Service sub-line track record
-0.508
Account track record
-0.497

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

20.0%

Model A: Planning

8.5%

Model B: Early Signal

3.4%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

8.5%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.393
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.272
Deal size vs service line median
-0.901

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.777
Deal size vs service line median
-0.764
Service sub-line track record
-0.538

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.