QualifyOver 90 Days

Sustainable Program Management Modernization

ID: 7211734-20

Potential Value

$1,700,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

236

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Rodriguez Danielle

Pursuit Leader

Larsen Carolyn

Open Date

Sep 19, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 11, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Sustainable Program Management Modernization

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

92.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,552,267

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.707
Non-recurring work
+0.627
Renewal pursuit
+0.498

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

92.5%

Model A: Planning

98.7%

Model B: Early Signal

92.0%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.852
Lead sales credit %
-0.854
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.643

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

92.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.053
Recurring/additional sale
+0.503
Market segment
-0.489

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: market segment.