ClosingPast Due

Accelerated IT Infrastructure Initiative - FY25

ID: 3003786-30

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

419

Client & Account

Client

Synergy Maritime Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Compliance Monitoring (43381)

People & Dates

Partner

Kobayashi Wei

Pursuit Leader

Baker Diana

Open Date

Mar 20, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Accelerated IT Infrastructure Initiative - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

49.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Opportunity business unit
+0.644
Work type
+0.587
Market segment
-0.584

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

49.9%

Model A: Planning

31.6%

Model B: Early Signal

21.3%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.6%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.417
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.090
Lead sales credit %
-0.672

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

21.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.600
Account business unit
-0.477
Market segment
-0.467

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), account business unit, market segment.