IdentifyOver 90 Days

Foundational Talent Strategy Migration (Revised)

ID: 1610342-40

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$15,000,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

309

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Hughes Andrew

Pursuit Leader

Larsen Carolyn

Open Date

Jul 8, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 20, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational Talent Strategy Migration (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

18.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

US Federal business unit
-0.568
Service sub-line track record
-0.564
Non-recurring work
+0.545

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

18.3%

Model A: Planning

26.2%

Model B: Early Signal

20.7%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

26.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.233
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.085
Lead sales credit %
-0.716

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

20.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.581
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.535
Market segment
-0.435

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), market segment.