Comprehensive Regulatory Reporting Assessment - Phase 3
ID: 3925740-40
Potential Value
$4,000,000
Deal Value
$4,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
415
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Schäfer Anna
Pursuit Leader
Takahashi Diego
Open Date
Mar 24, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Comprehensive Regulatory Reporting Assessment - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
9.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$47,751
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
9.0%
Model A: Planning
13.2%
Model B: Early Signal
3.1%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
13.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.