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High-Impact Procurement Scale-Up - Phase 3

ID: 9532472-10

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$500,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

166

Client & Account

Client

Emerald Strategic Worldwide

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

FAAS

Competency

FAAS - Financial applications, processes and analytics

Global Service Code

Strategic Advisory - Strat (79108)

People & Dates

Partner

Morgan Philippe

Pursuit Leader

Myers Janet

Open Date

Nov 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Procurement Scale-Up - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

32.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$25,267

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.806
Work type
+0.525
Opportunity business unit
+0.439

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

32.9%

Model A: Planning

30.7%

Model B: Early Signal

8.1%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

30.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.127
Lead sales credit %
-0.802
Deal age (days since open)
-0.730

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (31%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.707
Service sub-line track record
-0.629
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.551

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).