IdentifyOver 90 Days

Responsive Performance Management Enhancement

ID: 2182709-40

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

350

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Security Consortium

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Hill Diego

Pursuit Leader

Romero Debra

Open Date

May 28, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 28, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Responsive Performance Management Enhancement

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

34.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$127,255

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.668
Service sub-line track record
-0.558
Deal size
-0.295

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

34.2%

Model A: Planning

74.4%

Model B: Early Signal

64.3%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

74.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.378
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.347
Lead sales credit %
-0.781

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (74%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

64.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.001
Renewal pursuit
+0.581
Service sub-line track record
-0.482

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (64%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.