Optimized Stakeholder Engagement Review - Phase 2
ID: 5998511-30
Potential Value
$2,500,000
Deal Value
$12,500,000
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
217
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Finance´
Competency
Finance Data Transformation
Global Service Code
Cost Reduction - Review (50204)
Partner
Bernard Barbara
Pursuit Leader
Yang Joyce
Open Date
Oct 8, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Dec 18, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Stakeholder Engagement Review - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
29.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$225,222
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
29.9%
Model A: Planning
30.1%
Model B: Early Signal
15.8%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
30.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (30%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
15.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, sub-sector track record.