Regional Compliance Transformation (Amended)
ID: 4136342-30
Potential Value
$750,000
Deal Value
$2,250,000
Stated Probability
20%
Days in Pipeline
259
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Integrity & Compliance
Global Service Code
Diversity Programs - Review (78505)
Partner
Gupta Miguel
Pursuit Leader
Martinez Samuel
Open Date
Aug 27, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 10, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Compliance Transformation (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
42.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$82,290
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
42.2%
Model A: Planning
26.0%
Model B: Early Signal
4.0%
Stated Probability
20%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
26.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.