Scalable Supply Chain Analysis - FY25
ID: 3768168-20
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$10,000,000
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
86
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Cybersecurity
Opportunity Sub-SL
Cybersecurity
Competency
Cyber Implementation
Global Service Code
Policy Development (47968)
Partner
Bernard Barbara
Pursuit Leader
Adams Julie
Open Date
Feb 16, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Aug 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Scalable Supply Chain Analysis - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
21.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
21.2%
Model A: Planning
28.9%
Model B: Early Signal
29.0%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working in favor: opportunity business unit. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
29.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment, sub-sector track record.