Innovative Digital Transformation Phase II (Revised)
ID: 1334778-50
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$2,571,429
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
695
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Integrated Risk Management
Global Service Code
Diversity Programs (52033)
Partner
Bernard Barbara
Pursuit Leader
Barnes Diana
Open Date
Jun 17, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
May 15, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Digital Transformation Phase II (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
25.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$73,180
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
25.2%
Model A: Planning
58.0%
Model B: Early Signal
13.6%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
58.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (58%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
13.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, currency (usd vs other).