PursuePast Due

Advanced Data Analytics Initiative - Phase 3

ID: 6284335-20

Potential Value

$9,428,268

Deal Value

$9,428,268

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

287

Client & Account

Client

Prism Ventures

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

Indirect

Competency

Indirect Tax - Core

Global Service Code

Regulatory Technology (79039)

People & Dates

Partner

Dubois Joseph

Pursuit Leader

Larsen Ingrid

Open Date

Jul 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Advanced Data Analytics Initiative - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

81.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$2,425,050

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.660
Opportunity business unit
+0.493
Deal size vs service line median
+0.310

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

81.4%

Model A: Planning

31.6%

Model B: Early Signal

2.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.188
Service sub-line track record
-0.691
Lead sales credit %
-0.674

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.926
Service sub-line track record
-0.716
Deal size vs service line median
-0.698

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.