Scalable Risk Management Automation - Phase 2
ID: 5142478-20
Potential Value
$3,500,000
Deal Value
$3,500,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
575
Client
Quantum Pharmaceutical Worldwide
City
Denver
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Taylor Marcel
Pursuit Leader
Zhang Daniel
Open Date
Oct 15, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Scalable Risk Management Automation - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
72.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$809,389
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
72.4%
Model A: Planning
31.9%
Model B: Early Signal
2.4%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
31.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.