IdentifyOver 90 Days

Regional Performance Management Extension

ID: 7966348-40

Potential Value

$73,131

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

617

Client & Account

Client

Lunar Research Institute

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Resource Planning - Management (92452)

People & Dates

Partner

Long Raymond

Pursuit Leader

Peterson Helmut

Open Date

Sep 3, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Regional Performance Management Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

90.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$65,271

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.968
Work type
+0.777
Account track record
-0.620

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

90.3%

Model A: Planning

98.8%

Model B: Early Signal

94.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.492
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.224
Lead sales credit %
-0.867

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

94.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.033
Recurring/additional sale
+0.572
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.510

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (94%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: currency (usd vs other).