Identify30-60 Days

Digital Governance Initiative

ID: 7811015-50

Potential Value

$80,000

Deal Value

$78,095

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

601

Client & Account

Client

Crest Resources

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Cybersecurity

Opportunity Sub-SL

Cybersecurity

Competency

Cyber Implementation

Global Service Code

Policy Development (47968)

People & Dates

Partner

Roberts Edward

Pursuit Leader

Girard Larry

Open Date

Sep 19, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

May 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Digital Governance Initiative

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

66.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$39,424

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.785
Opportunity business unit
+0.256
Market segment
-0.222

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

66.6%

Model A: Planning

74.0%

Model B: Early Signal

29.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

74.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.466
Lead sales credit %
-0.792
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.768

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (74%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

29.4%

Key Drivers

Currency (USD vs other)
-0.628
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.519
Service sub-line track record
-0.453

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.